Risk Calculation Formula:
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Risk statistics involves quantifying potential losses or negative outcomes by combining the probability of an event occurring with the magnitude of its impact. This fundamental risk calculation helps in decision-making across various fields including finance, project management, and safety assessment.
The calculator uses the basic risk formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula multiplies probability percentage (converted to decimal) by impact magnitude to generate a standardized risk score.
Details: Quantitative risk assessment enables prioritization of risks, resource allocation, and informed decision-making. It provides objective data for comparing different risk scenarios and developing mitigation strategies.
Tips: Enter probability as percentage (0-100) and impact on a scale of 1-10 where 1 represents minimal impact and 10 represents catastrophic impact. Ensure both values are within valid ranges for accurate calculation.
Q1: What Do Different Risk Scores Mean?
A: Scores 0-3 indicate low risk, 3-6 moderate risk, 6-8 high risk, and 8-10 critical risk requiring immediate attention.
Q2: How Should Impact Be Scaled?
A: Impact should reflect financial loss, safety consequences, project delays, or reputational damage on a consistent 1-10 scale across your organization.
Q3: Can This Formula Handle Multiple Risks?
A: This calculates individual risks. For portfolio risk, consider correlation and use more advanced statistical methods.
Q4: What Are The Limitations Of This Approach?
A: This basic formula doesn't account for risk correlations, time factors, or non-linear relationships between probability and impact.
Q5: When Should More Complex Risk Models Be Used?
A: For financial investments, engineering projects, or safety-critical systems, consider Monte Carlo simulations or fault tree analysis.